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One-step challenges, ranked by what actually ends them

45 single-phase programmes. 19 of them publish the same 10% profit target against the same 6% drawdown, which gives them the same difficulty ratio of 1.67 — the number that is supposed to say how hard a challenge is.

At 1% risk per trade they fail between 2% and >99% of the time. Everything that separates them is in two fields nobody puts on a pricing page.

Every one we have read

Programme Ratio Daily Breaching it Drawdown Losses Fails
Maven Trading Buy Now, Pay Later 0.40 % Not published Static 10 2%
Goat Funded Trader Pay Later Model 0.50 % Not published Trailing 8 5%
For Traders Pay After Pass (Forex) 0.33 3% Ends the attempt Trailing 3 42%
The5ers Hyper Growth 1.67 3% Pauses the account Static 6 43%
Lux Trading Firm 1-Step Evaluation — $100K 1.67 % Not published Static 6 43%
Blue Guardian Buy Now Pay Later 0.50 4% Ends the attempt Trailing 4 48%
Lux Trading Firm 1-Step Evaluation — $400K 2.00 % Not published Static 6 49%
Lux Trading Firm INSTA 2.00 % Not published Static 6 49%
City Traders Imperium 1-Step Challenge 1.60 % Not published Trailing 5 54%
Lux Trading Firm 1-Step Evaluation — $1M 2.50 % Not published Static 6 58%
Maven Trading Prediction Markets One-Step Elite 1.80 % Not published Static 5 59%
Goat Funded Trader GOAT Blitz 0.60 3% Ends the attempt Trailing 3 60%
For Traders Fast Pro (Crypto) 1.50 % Not published Trailing 4 64%
Alpha Capital Group Alpha One 12% 1.50 5% Not published Trailing 5 70% our reading
FXIFY Lightning Challenge 1.25 3% Ends the attempt Trailing 3 80%
DNA Funded Rapid (10 Days) 1.00 3% Ends the attempt Static 3 80%
Alpha Capital Group Alpha One 10% 1.67 4% Not published Trailing 4 84% our reading
Funded Trading Plus 1-Step Express 1.67 4% Ends the attempt Trailing 4 84%
HyroTrader One-Step Challenge 1.67 4% Ends the attempt Static 4 84%
OneFunded Flash Challenge 1.67 4% Ends the attempt Static 4 84%
DNA Funded 1 Phase 1.67 4% Ends the attempt Static 4 84%
Blueberry Funded 1-Step (Legacy) 1.67 4% Ends the attempt Static 4 84%
Blue Guardian 1 Step 1.67 4% Ends the attempt Trailing 4 84%
Alpha Capital Group Alpha One 6% 1.50 3% Not published Trailing 3 86% our reading
E8 Markets E8 One 1.50 3% Ends the attempt Trailing 3 86%
Maven Trading Standard 1-Step 1.60 3% Ends the attempt Trailing 3 93%
For Traders Fast (Forex) 1.50 3% Ends the attempt Trailing 3 95%
Maven Trading Prediction Markets One-Step Essential 3.00 % Not published Trailing 3 95%
Breakout 1-Step Turbo 3.00 3% Ends the attempt Static 3 95%
FTMO 1-Step 1.00 3% Ends the attempt Trailing 3 97%
FundedNext Stellar 1-Step 1.67 3% Ends the attempt Static 3 97%
The5ers Pro Growth 1.67 3% Ends the attempt Static 3 97%
Goat Funded Trader 1 Step Model (GOAT) 1.67 3% Ends the attempt Static 3 97%
Audacity Capital Ability One 1.67 3% Not published Static 3 97% our reading
Hola Prime 1-Step Prime 1.67 3% Not published Static 3 97% our reading
FXIFY One Phase 1.67 3% Ends the attempt Trailing 3 97%
For Traders Fast Static (Forex) 1.67 3% Ends the attempt Static 3 97%
For Traders Fast (Crypto) 1.67 3% Ends the attempt Trailing 3 97%
Funding Traders 1-Step Pro 1.00 3% Ends the attempt Trailing 3 97%
Moneta Funded 1-Step Challenge 1.67 3% Ends the attempt Static 3 97%
Breakout 1-Step Classic 1.67 3% Ends the attempt Static 3 97%
Funding Pips 1 Step Flex 1.00 3% Ends the attempt Static 3 98%
Breakout 1-Step Pro 2.40 3% Ends the attempt Static 3 98%
Blueberry Funded Flex 1-Step 1.00 3% Ends the attempt Static 3 98%
E8 Markets E8 Pro 1.00 2.5% Ends the attempt Static 2 >99%

At 1% risk per trade, a 40% win rate and 2R winners. “Losses” is how many in a row end the attempt; “fails” is the chance of a run that long over the trades the target needs. Every rule links to the firm’s page, where the source and the date it was read are recorded.

The ranking is almost the reverse

Sort that table by difficulty ratio and you get a different order — nearly the opposite one. Three programmes here share the best ratio on this site, 0.33, meaning the profit each asks for exactly equals the drawdown it allows: For Traders' Pay After Pass (Forex). They sit at 3 of 45 — not one of them in the better half.

The ratio compares two published percentages. It cannot see the daily limit, and on 34 of these 45 the daily limit is the cap that actually ends the attempt — the overall drawdown never comes into play, because you are out before you approach it. So for most of this table the ratio describes a race nobody is running.

The exceptions are the programmes where breaching the daily limit only pauses the account. There the overall drawdown is the only way to fail, which is why they sit at the top of the table: not because their published numbers are softer, but because one of their rules is not fatal.

Two fields decide it instead. What breaching the daily limit does: ending the attempt against pausing the account is the difference between three losing trades and six, and run probabilities fall away exponentially in length. And the drawdown type: a static drawdown lets banked profit buy room beneath you, a trailing one raises the floor with you so it buys nothing.

For 5 of these, the deciding rule is not published

Alpha Capital Group's Alpha One 12%, Alpha Capital Group's Alpha One 10%, Alpha Capital Group's Alpha One 6%, Audacity Capital's Ability One and Hola Prime's 1-Step Prime publish a daily loss limit without saying what happens when you touch it. On the evidence of the rest of this table, that one sentence moves the outcome further than any other rule they do publish.

Their figures above take the conservative reading — that the attempt ends — and are marked as ours rather than theirs. If you are considering any of them, that is the question to put to their support before paying, and the answer is worth more than any discount.

What this does not measure

On the numbers above

Maven Trading — Buy Now, Pay Later

It comes out ahead on the chance a losing streak ends the attempt, at 1% risk per trade, at 2% — 41 percentage points clear of For Traders' Pay After Pass (Forex), the next best.

This is computed from the published rules, not chosen. Whichever programme wins that calculation appears here, including firms we earn nothing from, and it changes when the rules do. It says nothing about payout reliability, platform, or whether a firm pays at all.

One thing to know before you act on it: Maven Trading does not publish a fee for this programme by account size, so what it costs cannot be shown here. Any “from” price beside it in a table on this site is the cheapest across everything that firm sells, not the price of this.

Two of these in more detail

FundedNext’s Stellar 1-Step against The5ers’ Hyper Growth — every rule that governs losing is identical, and one pauses where the other ends. That pair is the cleanest demonstration that the published numbers do not predict the outcome.

FTMO’s 1-Step against its own 2-Step — same firm, same pricing page, and the one asking half the profit is the one that fails far more often.

Every programme we have read is here with its sources and read dates, the arithmetic behind these figures is here, and the calculator takes your own risk and win rate.

Questions

Which one-step prop firm challenge is easiest to pass?
Of the programmes whose rules we have read, Maven Trading's Buy Now, Pay Later, at roughly 2% chance of a losing streak ending the attempt at 1% risk per trade — against >99% for E8 Markets' E8 Pro. The difference is rarely the profit target or the drawdown — 19 of these 45 publish identical ones. It is the daily loss limit and what breaching it does.
Are one-step challenges easier than two-step?
Usually not, and they are priced as though they were. One phase means a lower total profit target, which is real. But firms pair it with a tighter daily limit, and on these programmes the daily limit is the cap that actually ends the attempt — the overall drawdown never comes into play. FTMO’s own 1-Step and 2-Step make the point within a single firm: the 1-Step asks half the profit and fails far more often.
What is the difficulty ratio and why is it not enough?
Total profit target divided by total drawdown allowance. It is computable from figures every firm publishes and advertised by none, and it is the right first number to look at. It is not sufficient: 19 of the programmes here share a ratio of 1.67 and land between 43% and 97%, because the ratio only sees the percentages and not what happens when you touch them.
Why do some rows say the daily-limit effect is not published?
Because it is not. Alpha Capital Group's Alpha One 12%, Alpha Capital Group's Alpha One 10%, Alpha Capital Group's Alpha One 6%, Audacity Capital's Ability One and Hola Prime's 1-Step Prime publish a daily loss limit without saying whether breaching it ends the attempt or pauses the account until the next session. That single sentence is worth more than any discount on these programmes, so the figures for them take the conservative reading — the attempt ends — and are marked as our assumption rather than their rule.
Maven Trading → Goat Funded Trader → For Traders → The5ers → Lux Trading Firm → Blue Guardian → Lux Trading Firm → Lux Trading Firm → City Traders Imperium → Lux Trading Firm → Maven Trading → Goat Funded Trader → For Traders → Alpha Capital Group → FXIFY → DNA Funded → Alpha Capital Group → Funded Trading Plus → HyroTrader → OneFunded → DNA Funded → Blueberry Funded → Blue Guardian → Alpha Capital Group → E8 Markets → Maven Trading → For Traders → Maven Trading → Breakout → FTMO → FundedNext → The5ers → Goat Funded Trader → Audacity Capital → Hola Prime → FXIFY → For Traders → For Traders → Funding Traders → Moneta Funded → Breakout → Funding Pips → Breakout → Blueberry Funded → E8 Markets →